As an experienced estate agent based in Lincoln, I like to monitor the UK and Lincoln property market trends.
Therefore, I will start by analysing the 2024 property market (both nationally and locally) and then give my predictions for 2025.
In 2024, the UK property market recorded 1,230,136 homes sold subject to contract. This figure represents a significant increase compared to 2023, where only 1,066,212 properties were sold.
15.4% more UK homes sold stc in 2024, compared to 2023
For those of you who like your property stats, the average price of the UK property sold in 2023 was £354,981 with an average of £331/sq.ft. In 2024, the average sale agreed price was 1.84% higher at £361,529, yet the average pound per square foot was 2.72% higher at £340/sq.ft.
The number of transactions has significantly risen, while the average price paid for a UK property and the pound per square foot has remained relatively the same. That means that while house prices have not really risen, the number of UK homes that sold did significantly. Remember, the best bellwether of the health of the UK property market is not necessarily UK house prices but the number of homes sold.
Such a change in the property market demands a deeper analysis to understand the underlying factors and what they might mean for local markets, such as Lincoln.
Key Drivers of the UK Property Market Surge
Several factors have contributed to this positive momentum:
- Falling Mortgage Rates: Lower interest rates have made borrowing more accessible, encouraging buyers who may have previously hesitated due to affordability concerns.
- Wage Growth: Rising wages have given potential buyers greater financial confidence, enabling them to consider property purchases.
- Low Unemployment: A stable job market has fostered a sense of security, emboldening people to make significant life investments, such as buying a home.
- Changing Preferences: Post-pandemic shifts in how and where people want to live continue to play a role, with buyers seeking properties that align with their evolving lifestyles.
Lincoln’s Property Market: A Comparative Analysis
When we turn our attention to Lincoln, it’s important to recognise that local markets can behave differently from national trends (Lincoln being LN1-LN6).
In 2023, 3,303 Lincoln homes sold for an average of £250,053 (at an average of £242/sq.ft.), while in 2024, 3,954 Lincoln homes sold for an average of £254,424 (also at an average of £242/sq.ft.).
The most important thing here is the increase in the number of transactions.
19.7% increase in Lincoln home sales in 2024 compared to 2023.
As I’ve stated before, the number of transactions is a much better bellwether of the health of the property market than house prices.
So, what of 2025?
Local Influences Shaping Lincoln’s Property Market
Lincoln’s property market doesn’t exist in isolation – it’s shaped by a range of local factors that are often similar yet different from national trends. Changes in employment levels, ongoing infrastructure developments, and shifts in the local demographic profile can all impact it.
Regional policies can also influence market activity. Understanding these nuances is essential for property owners and landlords who want to make strategic decisions.
Looking Ahead into 2025: Advice for Lincoln Homeowners and Landlords
As we enter 2025, the UK property market shows continued promise, yet a one-size-fits-all approach won’t work in Lincoln. National patterns interact uniquely with local circumstances, meaning it’s vital to focus on what’s happening on the ground here.
Most forecasts anticipate moderate house price growth in 2025, with projections ranging from 1.1 to 4%. While the pace of growth may differ across regions, the overall trend is expected to remain positive. Regional variations are expected to be a defining feature of the UK property market in 2025. Some areas are predicted to outperform others in terms of house price growth and market activity. For instance, Yorkshire and the Humber, are all forecasted to experience a 5% rise in house prices.
Stamp duty thresholds are scheduled to revert to their original levels from 1 April 2025. This means buyers will be required to pay tax on any amount exceeding £125,000, instead of the current threshold of £250,000. The first-time buyer threshold will also revert to £300,000 (from £425,000). These changes could potentially impact affordability and dampen demand in the short term, particularly for first-time buyers and those in the lower to mid-market price range.
Local market knowledge is a key advantage for Lincoln homeowners planning to sell or landlords managing portfolios. Evaluating your property’s position within the Lincoln market could make all the difference in navigating opportunities or mitigating challenges in the year ahead. While 2024 was strong, it’s critical to go beyond the headlines. Local insights often reveal opportunities that broad trends don’t capture.
Of the 5,869 homes that left Lincoln estate agent books in 2024, only 2,965 of those homes the owner sold and moved (50.52%), while the remaining 2,904 homes (49.48%) withdrew, unsold
The Key to Selling Your Home in Lincoln is Realistic Pricing
Looking at the statistics above, half of the properties listed for sale in Lincoln go on to sell. This highlights an essential truth about the Lincoln property market: pricing your home realistically is the single most crucial factor in securing a successful sale. Many estate agents are tempted to overprice properties to win your business, but this approach can significantly hinder your chances of selling, especially in a competitive market like Lincoln.
Research by ‘Denton House’ reveals that properties listed at the right price from the start are far more likely to sell quickly and successfully. For example, homes that sell within the first 25 days of being listed have a 94% likelihood of reaching completion and ensuring the homeowner successfully moves. However, if a property lingers on the market for over 100 days, if the homeowner does agree on a sale, the chances of that sale going on to exchange and complete (i.e. the homeowner moving) plummet dramatically to 56%.
As an experienced local estate agent in Lincoln, I understand the intricacies of our market and can provide honest, expert advice about your property’s value. I aim to help you set a realistic asking price that maximises your chances of selling while achieving a fair and competitive market value. I analyse local market conditions daily and stay up-to-date with shifting trends, ensuring your home is priced to sell – not to sit on the market.
If you’re eager to move and want a reliable, professional approach to selling your home in 2025, I’m here to help. Let’s work together to make your property stand out in Lincoln’s market, attract motivated buyers and ensure a smooth sale from start to finish. Get in touch today for tailored advice and a strategy to sell your Lincoln home.
